In this round, I have assigned the home team in my model to the team that last played at the venue. I’ve had to do this since all my features in my linear/logistic model are subtractions of the away teams statistic from the home team. This has led to some strange tips, but let’s go with them…
| Winning Team | Opponent | Date | Probability (%) | Margin |
| Geelong | Brisbane Lions | 09/07/2020 | 54 | 3 |
| Hawthorn | Collingwood | 10/07/2020 | 60 | 8 |
| Fremantle | St Kilda | 11/07/2020 | 54 | 3 |
| West Coast | Adelaide | 11/07/2020 | 81 | 25 |
| Melbourne | Gold Coast | 11/07/2020 | 70 | 15 |
| Essendon | North Melbourne | 11/07/2020 | 63 | 10 |
| Port Adelaide | Greater Western Sydney | 12/07/2020 | 67 | 13 |
| Richmond | Sydney | 12/07/2020 | 62 | 5 |
| Western Bulldogs | Carlton | 12/07/2020 | 64 | 8 |
